Ten Bold Predictions About American Education (and Two Not Very Bold Bonus Predictions)
Ten Bold Predictions About American Education:
- 11th and 12th grade are phased out, or replaced entirely, for many students.
- Community colleges increasingly award bachelor's degrees, and increasingly align with public schools.
- State universities are functionally, though not officially, privatized, even as the value of a school's brand increases.
- Standardization of instruction first increases as a result of legislation, then quickly loses traction, to be replaced by boutique, branded programs, as government levers become decreasingly effective.
- Instructional assessment becomes more discrete, more focused on skills and competencies, and increasingly personalized.
- The revolution is not webcast. It's actually viewed in mixed-mode.
- Successful schools will become increasingly nomadic, decentralized, and internationally focused.
- "Creative production," "phase change theory," "design-based education," and "neurosculpting" become the key buzzwords.
- Geometry (and what it represents) becomes marginalized as an academic topic, even as design (and what it represents) becomes an, or the, area of focus.
- The increasingly large gap in the speed of innovation within educational institutions will further accelerate gaps in educational and economic attainment.
... and two not very bold predictions:
- Tinkering at the margins of a failed model will continue to produce little in the way of results.
- Conflicting trends--including some identified on this list--will become more likely as a result of intensification of competing values.


